Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.422783 0.499850 0.585734 0.688359 0.807469 0.941167 1.102422
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.334249 0.436643 0.561389 0.723853 0.929087 1.178905 1.505129
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.290781 0.415538 0.580115 0.811365 1.125871 1.536340 2.109850
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.231946 0.361579 0.546181 0.824998 1.231440 1.797421 2.639037
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.196207 0.331721 0.538863 0.873144 1.392090 2.158045 3.361954
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.165683 0.302731 0.526805 0.911665 1.545212 2.531946 4.163683
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.136180 0.268424 0.499226 0.920108 1.652733 2.853145 4.934996
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.113044 0.239661 0.474844 0.928713 1.761217 3.191176 5.782600
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.098937 0.224430 0.471305 0.973081 1.938223 3.667955 6.928457
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.093726 0.225847 0.499360 1.081260 2.248002 4.417701 8.649052
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.082766 0.212259 0.494715 1.124248 2.440659 4.981228 10.107277
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.069333 0.189584 0.466289 1.112839 2.523363 5.348739 11.246167
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.055440 0.162485 0.423371 1.064469 2.527304 5.574458 12.164798
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044965 0.141067 0.388779 1.027921 2.550540 5.842972 13.208055
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040763 0.135590 0.391992 1.081488 2.784831 6.585168 15.328916
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033596 0.119323 0.363795 1.051979 2.821323 6.906312 16.597087
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029701 0.111855 0.357483 1.077405 2.994297 7.554006 18.662364
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026209 0.104592 0.350090 1.098564 3.160400 8.208385 20.825031
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022395 0.094931 0.333314 1.090191 3.248979 8.691840 22.653136
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019308 0.086820 0.319310 1.086976 3.350918 9.221358 24.656173
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017622 0.083517 0.320020 1.128350 3.582983 10.105556 27.627208
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.017526 0.086662 0.343190 1.244497 4.045996 11.636243 32.375393
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016042 0.083432 0.343524 1.287560 4.303216 12.661334 35.955551